Al Melchior looks at the dynasty league potential for five post-hype rookies, including Gunnar Henderson and Miguel Vargas.
We all know that drafting rookies or adding them via FAB is a risky proposition. Many of us can scan our rosters and find at least one or two we drafted or spent a sizable chunk of FAB on, only to find they haven’t delivered what we hoped for or expected. This doesn’t necessarily mean they can’t fulfill our expectations next year or beyond. For those of us who have been carrying these players in dynasty leagues for multiple seasons, it doesn’t mean they are no longer keepers.
This column will focus on five such players, looking at what went wrong and what could possibly go right in the seasons to come. Each player’s NFBC ADP is listed in parentheses.While it feels a little funny to label Henderson as a disappointment, the fact is that he hasn’t lived up to his lofty draft position. On average, he was the 55th hitter taken in NFBC leagues, but he currently ranks 78th among hitters in Roto value.
Perhaps Walker wasn’t ready to make the jump from Double-A to the majors, as he had done on opening day, though this year’s 29-game stint in Triple-A didn’t produce great results . Walker just turned 21 in May, so it’s far too early to conclude that he can’t replicate the speed/power/batting average combination he displayed in the minors.
Rodriguez was never a ground ball pitcher in the minors, so we shouldn’t assume that this recent trend is going to stick. Nonetheless, it’s a welcome development, especially since he has maintained a solid 29.2 percent CSW% and 8.0 percent walk rate since his most recent promotion. While Rodriguez’s season-to-date ratios call into question his keeper status, fantasy managers should be just as excited about rostering him for next season as they were back in March.
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