FiveThirtyEight probability model rates chances of Newcastle beating Bournemouth and finding success this season nufc
The super computer model predictions are based on the
revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data. They have analysed all Premier League matches this coming weekend, including Newcastle United againstTheir computer model gives Bournemouth a 16% chance of a win, it is 23% for a draw and a 61% possibility of a Newcastle win .
We can also see how the computer model rates the percentage probability chances of success for Newcastle United over the course of the season.As for relegation, that is less likely according to the forecasts, the computer model currently makes NUFC a 5% chance of going down.most likely to be relegated, with then Bournemouth a 51% shot, Everton , Leicester , Fulham , Wolves , Southampton , Leeds and Villa .
At the top they rate Man City a 66% chance of retaining the title, with Liverpool 16%, Tottenham 6%, Arsenal 6%, Chelsea 3%, Man Utd 1% and Brighton 1%.
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