How might Boris Johnson be ousted as PM?
Already the number of junior ministers departing is beginning to pile up, including at least a few unexpected names, keeping up pressure on the prime minister.
If - as seems likely - he refuses to do so, this could provoke further departures, with one minister telling me they'd go if the PM tries to stay on until the summer recess. If MPs standing on a platform of changing the leadership rules form a majority, it's a moment of jeopardy for Boris Johnson. It had been anticipated that the rules could be changed to allow another vote within a year, but that it would not take place until the Autumn, after the Privileges Committee pronounces on whether the PM had deliberately misled Parliament.
If Boris Johnson were to be defeated in a confidence vote, then nominations would be open for a new leader - with MPs potentially whittling the candidates down to the final two before the summer recess.
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