He will struggle to manage a conservative Congress and unite a polarised country WorldAhead
Save time by listening to our audio articles as you multitaskIn the lead-up to the election, Mr Bolsonaro had primed his fans to believe that anything other than his victory would signify “fraud”. After the results were announced, he refused to speak for nearly two days, but eventually said he would abide by the constitution, paving the way for a transition of power.
His departure will put Brazil back on the world stage in the fight against climate change and in efforts to establish peace and democracy in Latin America, perhaps most importantly in neighbouring Venezuela. Meanwhile, Lula will seek to restore normality to Brazil’s embattled institutions while pursuing left-wing economic and social agendas. But he will struggle to manage a conservative Congress and unite a polarised country.
Lula says his priority is to help the poor. He has promised to expand cash transfers, forgive debts and launch a big infrastructure programme to boost growth and provide jobs. But Brazil’s economy is in a much tougher spot than it was when he assumed office in 2003.
Although Lula is a skilled politician, he may struggle to maintain a governing coalition in Congress. Mr Bolsonaro’s party is now the biggest in both chambers; his allies will attempt to block the leftist president’s agenda at every turn. Lula will try to forge deals with centre-right parties, who will demand a slice of the budget and government jobs in exchange for their support.
Bolsonarismo will remain a powerful force in Brazilian society, probably far beyond 2023. Some 58m people voted for Mr Bolsonaro. In the wake of Lula’s win, thousands of bolsonaristas blocked roads and asked for “military intervention”, though the unrest seemed likely to give way to reluctant resignation. But Mr Bolsonaro has a mass of loyal followers who could be mobilised at his command—for instance, if he is prosecuted for his mishandling of the pandemic.
Belgique Dernières Nouvelles, Belgique Actualités
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