Rate of disruptive tech and science discoveries has slowed over the decades, claims study
Far from an era of accelerating innovation and disruption, our current times manifest evidence of a slowing of discoveries and developments that change our thinking.
A study led by Carlson School of Management associate professor Russell Funk, shows that patents and papers are less likely to take humanity’s body of knowledge in new directions than they were decades ago.published in Nature yesterday shows that for scientific papers, the decrease between 1945 and 2010 ranges from 91.9 per cent to 100 percent. For patents, the decrease between 1980 and 2010 ranges from 78.7 percent to 91.5 percent. Technology is not immune to the trend; in fact, it is among the group with the steepest decline in innovation.
"We find that papers and patents are increasingly less likely to break with the past in ways that push science and technology in new directions. This pattern holds universally across fields and is robust across multiple different citation- and text-based metrics. "We find that the observed declines are unlikely to be driven by changes in the quality of published science, citation practices or field-specific factors. Overall, our results suggest that slowing rates of disruption may reflect a fundamental shift in the nature of science and technology," the paper said.
Belgique Dernières Nouvelles, Belgique Actualités
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