Brett Appley previews the Aljamain Sterling-Sean O’Malley main event and the Zhang Weili-Amanda Lemos co-main event ahead of UFC 292.
O’Malley earned this opportunity with a victory over Petr Yan back in October, and he had previously knocked out six consecutive opponents from 2020-21. The kid is a dangerous, lengthy striker who can land in volume and inflict damage.
O’Malley will have his work cut out for him though against Sterling, who presents a much different type of challenge than past opponents. We haven’t seen a super large sample of grappling from O’Malley, but I’ve seen enough to be concerned for him in this matchup. He just gave up six takedowns to Petr Yan, and I didn’t love his first-level takedown defense.
And if O’Malley tries to stand back up, he’ll likely present an opportunity for Sterling to take his back. Essentially, I believe O’Malley needs to keep the fight upright to win. On BetMGM, Sterling is -250 to win, which is an implied win rate of 71.43 percent, so the public is clued into his stylistic advantages in the matchup.
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