What if an Aaron Rodgers trade isn’t done by the draft? 'Then everything changes.' mattschneidman on the consequences of a delayed deal.
would be in bad faith given how far they’ve gone with Rodgers. So trading for Jackson is off the table as an alternative, and getting Rodgers is the only feasible option unless Jets brass and coaches want to sign their termination papers before the season even starts.
The Packers actually might be incentivized to wait until after June 1 to make a deal because the 2023 dead money hit of more than $40.3 million if Rodgers is traded before June 1 would be split over two years, according to Over The Cap — about $15.8 million in 2023 and the rest in 2024. The Packers might want to eat that dead money hit this year to make sure it doesn’t linger any further, but they have more financial options if this carries past the draft nonetheless.
The only deadline by which the Packers have to trade Rodgers if this stalemate lasts past the draft is the start of the regular season. That’s when the Packers would need to pay his option bonus of $58.3 million by, per OTC. They’re not doing that for a quarterback they’re not starting and the Jets need Rodgers in the building well before that, hence why Green Bay would hold the leverage after April 29.
As for compensation if a trade is not consummated by the end of the draft, the Packers might shift their attention to players who can improve their roster right away if they don’t get 2023 draft capital. That might be the approach, though not as a total replacement for all draft capital in the deal because they’d still likely look to acquire 2024 capital and potentially even a 2025 conditional pick contingent on Rodgers’ playing time and accomplishments with the Jets.
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