These books explain the importance of demographic ebbs and flows, especially in China and India
to be everywhere; demographers, not so much. As Danny Dorling admits, when demographers like him are asked at parties what they do, sometimes it is easiest just to lie. Their zero-rated public profile seems to reflect the state of their science. People may disagree about what economics has to say but no one doubts there exists a vast body of economic science which must say something.
Demography matters, argue the aforementioned Mr Dorling, of Oxford University, and Stuart Gietel-Basten, of Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, not because of panic-inducing headline numbers but for more subtle reasons. Shifts between different age groups, changing fertility rates and what might be called the various component parts of the demographic whole are all intimately connected with—and help explain—social change.
Charles Goodhart, formerly of the Bank of England and the London School of Economics, and Manoj Pradhan, founder of Talking Heads, a research firm, take some of the basic ideas explained in the previous two books in this list and use them to advance a broader and more controversial thesis. In the four decades after 1970, the share of the world’s population which was of working age gradually expanded, underpinning a long period of economic growth.
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