This long-expected event shows that improvements in living standards are the surest, as well as the most humane, route to a stable population
due in 2021 , so its numbers are not as exact as they might have been. But, according to the United Nations, a reliable guide on demographic matters, India and China had the same population in April 2023 . Since China’s population isand India’s is rising, it is a safe bet that the latter will overtake the former imminently.
In 1970 China’s population was 823m and India’s was almost one-third lower, at 558m. But in other respects the two giants were similar. In both people below the age of 25 accounted for the same share of the population, 60%. The working-age population was roughly the same, too, at just over 35%. And the total fertility rates of the giants were nearly identical at about six . That was high. Only one country—Niger—has such a rate today.
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