Why Trump's Rivals Think They Can Stop Him in Iowa

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Why Trump's Rivals Think They Can Stop Him in Iowa
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The GOP primary hinges on the same question that has perplexed the political system for years: How do you stop Trump?

Demetrius Freeman—The Washington Post/Getty Imageshe Iowa voter had a question for Ron DeSantis—a plea, of sorts, on behalf of “all the small-town people.”

This is the man who was supposed to be the Trump Slayer. Yet as the 2024 campaign lumbers into gear, DeSantis has never looked like less of a threat to the former President’s chances of returning to office. Bloodied by a barrage of typically nasty Trump insults and millions in negative ads from Trump’s allies, his campaign has been a litany of disappointment, declining steadily in the polls since its botched Twitter launch on May 24.

DeSantis, like everyone else, wants to believe the campaign is about something else—The Issues, the current President, the price of tea in China—when it is self-­evidently about one thing and one thing only, the singular, binary question that has perplexed the political system for so many years: Can Trump Be Stopped?

Scott talks about his record and outlines a set of proposals he would pursue on issues like taxes, school choice, and opportunity zones. He speaks with feeling about his upbringing, sprinkling in religious references and folksy sayings. At one point he describes Biden’s spending policies as “like a goose lost in a rainstorm.” A capacity crowd has packed the airy venue, and Scott’s easy banter with Governor Kim Reynolds has them laughing along.

The caucus electorate hasn’t fundamentally changed since 2016, says Dave Kochel, a GOP consultant and adviser to Governor Reynolds. “All those people still exist, and they haven’t all become Trumpers, even if they’re all defenders of the tribe.” With the right pitch, Trump’s current rivals have access to both Cruz’s social conservatives and Rubio’s establishmentarians. “Iowa’s going to be really, really important, and I don’t think it’s a slam dunk for Trump,” Kochel says.

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