Multiple newspapers have reported that GP shortages projected by the Health Foundation could mean 16 million people are left without a GP by 2030. But the Health Foundation has told Full Fact this can’t be inferred from its projections.
That figure, which was widely reported elsewhere as well, comes from anto health secretary Dr Thérèse Coffey, which calls for the government to take action to address issues within the primary care system.
Therefore the Health Foundation did not say, as DAUK claimed in its letter, that the “NHS will lose up to 8,800 full-time equivalent GPs by 2030” but rather that the number of FTE GPs in 2030 is expected to be 8,800 short of the number required to meet “pre-pandemic appropriate standards of care”.
“However, that does not mean that millions will be without a GP. It is more likely that they will have GP but the level of care will not be the same as 2018/19 and they will have to wait longer. They may then choose to use other services.”
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