We regret to inform you Earth will not be destroyed by an asteroid within 1,000 years
, the key was a"less computationally intense approach to take a peek at a longer time interval." By pinning down"the fraction of the orbit that can bring the object close to Earth," he said the team could model impact risks much further out than has been possible before.
"In general, asteroid impacts capable of causing significant damage to Earth are extremely unlikely," he said."Just in case, we are doing our due diligence." The study found that the closest we'd get to asteroid annihilation within the next millennium would be at the hands of 1994 PC1, a rocky object 1km wide, which has a 0.00151 percent chance of passing inside the orbit of Moon. It's a Hail Mary, but also a 10 times higher risk than any other asteroid in the neighborhood.
"It's still not likely that it's going to collide," said Fuentes-Muñoz."But it will be a very good scientific opportunity, because it's going to be a huge asteroid that's very close to us." So at least our descendants have that to look forward to – if we haven't already obliterated ourselves over some dumb human-caused stuff.
Oh well. It's not like we need any help with our death drive. Thanks to the atomic bomb, climate change, war in Europe, and economic ruin, humanity hasn't been this close for a minute. ®
Belgique Dernières Nouvelles, Belgique Actualités
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