The mutiny has left everyone, in Russia and abroad, as they watched the spectacle unfold on smartphones and television screens, stunned and perplexed
. A violent criminal and former hot-dog seller, nicknamed the “chef”, leads an armed irregular militia towards Moscow, demanding the heads of the regular army chief and of the defence minister. Border guards and security staff vanish, letting them pass. The Russian air force fires missiles at its own oil depot, in the city of Voronezh, while ordinary citizens pour onto the street to observe the spectacle and chat with the militiamen.
That process has been active for a while. But Mr Putin’s war in Ukraine, meant to stave it off, has instead accelerated it. Four months before he launched his full-scale offensive against Ukraine, Vladislav Surkov, one of the ideologues of Mr Putin’s earlier incursions into Ukraine, wrote: “The Russian state, with its severe and inflexible interior, survived exclusively because of its tireless expansion beyond its borders. It has long lost the knowledge [of] how to survive otherwise.
Mr Prigozhin and his group of mercenaries were purely Mr Putin’s own creation, one that he used to fight deniably in Libya, Mali and Syria before Ukraine, but which he was unable to control, and which in the end became dangerous to him. Formally, Wagner did not even exist: private armies are illegal under Russia’s constitution. But even such fundamental laws can be twisted, as Mr Putin himself demonstrated when he changed the constitution to keep himself in power.
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