Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert are set to battle in the AFC West for the foreseeable future. But the amount of hardware in their trophy cases when all is said and done may depend on the rosters they have to work with. ✍️ SandoNFL
The graphic suggests strong correlation between Wilson's rising cap charge and Seattle's falling DST performance. Nearly all these teams had better DST production in the first five years of their quarterbacks' careers than they enjoyed later. This plays into the idea that as the quarterback becomes more expensive, the margin for error in maintaining a roster shrinks.
Wilson never got past the divisional round without a top-five DST component, missing the playoffs altogether in 2017 despite a No. 7 ranking in DST EPA. He eventually pushed back against what he saw as a restrictive run-first offensive mindset implemented by Carroll, but some in the league think Wilson produces at an elite level mostly when defenses are focused on the run, which can make it easier to find open receivers.
With Reid designing the offense and calling plays for the talented McNabb, and with Johnson running a defense known for formidable blitz packages, the Eagles posted a league-best 59-21 record from 2000-2004. Three of those seasons ended in the NFC title game. Another ended with a 24-21 defeat to another Group One team, New England, in the Super Bowl.
It wasn't as easy in 2005 when the Patriots lost linebacker Tedy Bruschi to a stroke, released future Hall of Fame corner Ty Law and had both coordinators leave, including Romeo Crennel on the defensive side. New England, after reaching three Super Bowls in the previous four years without ranking worse than fifth in DST EPA, plummeted to 28th in 2005 and lost by two touchdowns toin the divisional round following a 10-6 season.
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